蒙古矿产和经济发展.pptx

,Click to edit Master title style,Click to edit Master text styles,Second level,Third level,Fourth level,Fifth level,02.08.2012,#,GOVERNMENT OF MONGOLIA,MongoLIA,MINING AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT,Ch.Khashchuluun,National Development and Innovation Committee,Government Agency of Mongolia,Ulaanbaatar 200,9,1,2,Mining-led economic expansion,In 1990 mining wasnt a main policy issue,World prices for minerals were low in the aftermath of Asian crisis,After 2002,rising world prices completely changed policy orientation,Mining as a pillar of economic growth,30%of GDP,70%of exports,Started transition to market economy in 1990 under extremely difficult conditions,Mongolia has fully overcome transition to market economy by 2000,In 1990-1992 transition crisis,GDP was falling at 9-10%annually,In 2004-2008 Mongolia is one of fastest growing countries,Between 2004 and 2007 GDP per capita increased from,720.9,USD to,1971.5,USD or,2.7,times,3,4,Current structure of economy:growing share of mining,Construction,Services,Manufacturing,Mining,Agriculture,Mining as engine for growthto develop infrastructure and establish new industries a growth opportunity,Exploration,Mining volume,Reserves,5,6,Exploration Budget for the Top Ten Countries,2007,GEOLOGICAL SURVEY,In 2007,the amount of exploration budget in Mongolia has increased to 280.2 mil.USD and listed in Top ten countries in the world.,Bigger deposits and Projects of the world scale,OUY TOLGOI,32 Million tons of copper,1000 tons of gold,TSAGAAN SUBRAGA,44 400 tons of copper,Mardai-Uranium,1104,tons of,1+2,grade,ASGAT,1271.2,tons,Silver reserve of C2 grade,TAVAN TOLGOI,7.0 Billion tons of coal,Shivee-Ovoo,564.1 Million tons of+1 grades coal,Phosphor deposit of Burenkhaan,162.56 Million tons,of phosphorit ore of A,B,C1 grades,Priority development area nonferrous metals,coal,energy,Priority development area ferrous metals,9,10,Some projects have already started in 2009,Mongolia is going to become a large producer and exporter of coal,11,The mining sector forecasts and data are from former Agency of Mineral Resources and are to be adjusted.The OT agreement worth about 4 billion USD will be signed this September The project will provide flow of 29 billion USD over next 30 years and potentially much more for 80 years,This trend will accelerate with intensive development of new natural resources,12,Growth of mining results possibilities of growth for other industries,Every dollar in mining creates additional demand of 1.84 dollars in other sectors,Growth of related industries,transport,energy,construction,finance and other services,New large infrastructure projects:,railroads,automobile roads,rural airports,power stations,Movement of population to new growth areas and growing need for,hospitals,schools,apartments,urban development,13,Development needs:,Necessity to create new industries to diversify to add higher value and increase income,Rising complexity of development projects,longer term,financing options need for midterm coordination of sectoral strategies on a basis of unified development strategy,Issues of competitiveness,Technology transfer,Productivity,Institutional development,14,Development policy 2010-2015,Development needs,long term vision(2008),Priority sectors midterm strategy(2009),Investment program(2009),Financing(2010-2015),Monitoring,evaluation,results,15,Mining:,accelerates economic growth,necessitates infrastructure development,development of social infrastructure,Technology transfer and related human development:education in particular,Export/import growth need for logistics expansion,Fiscal sources for overall modernization,16,Priority,1.,Develop mining,establish base of heavy industry metallurgy,copper smelting,oil processing,chemical industry,Priority,2.,Intensification of agriculture,industrialization,Priority,3.,Development of infrastructure to support mining and industrialization,Priority,4.,Human development,sustainable development,Priority,5.,Improvement of Governance,support of private sector,Development Priorities 2010-2015,17,Diversification building priority industries,18,Priority sectors,Notes,Technology,Policy steps,Mining cluster creation,(strategic mines,chemical industry,nonferrous and ferrous metal production,copper smelting),main export industry,large share in GDP and exports,Chemistry,nanotechnology,mining technology,other technologies,Investment agreements(2009,2010),Support of private sector,Technology transfer,Human resource preparation,Establishment of national Development Bank(2009),Establishment of national Investment Fund(2012),Agro-industrial cluster,(livestock,crop,food,light industry),45 million of livestock,large share in GDP,employment,crucial supplier of food,large supplier of export products and raw materials for industry,Value added products,Biotechnology,intensive agricultural technology,technology for livestock products processing,storage and transportation,introduction of international standards in livestock farming,Industrialization program(2010-2016),SME support,Developing biotechnology center(25 million USD in 2009),Technical renovation of agriculture(300 million USD loan for equipment in 2009-2010),Building network of rural modern farms and processing utilities,National science/innovation program,Agriculture(farming)support program,Infrastructure,(energy,transportation,utilities),Main basis for development,Railroads,power plant technology,water purification,PPP law(2009),infrastructure development projects/planning(Japan,Russia,WB),urban planning(Japan,ADB),investment in roads,energy,public utilities,19,Other sectors,Priority sectors,Notes,Technology,Policy steps,Transportation,New Ulaanbaatar international airport to be finished by 2015,supported by Japan,Railway modernization to be supported by Russia,Railway network expansion to be linked with China,Modernization of fleet,domestic airports and runways,services,private airlines growth,Private railways and operators,Cargo,logistics,Support of private railways,PPP,Development of transit and logistic centers,Participation in Eurasian transit corridors,Information technology,75%of population with mobile phones in 2009,Introduced national wide 3G services this year,Need for unified standards in communications,Further cost reduction,Improvement of services,Supporting cluster development,E-governance(Supported by Korea),Sustainable development,Tourism,Growing fast,Ecologically friendly,Culture industries history,movies,language,media,museums(Japan-supported museum in Kharakorum,ancient capital of Mongol Empire),20,2010-2015,main investment,TUV,1,2653,km,1,1,1,1009,km,2,2,789,km,3,3,1261,km,4,4,1121,km,5,5,713,km,-,-,-,52,2 ,Highways and bridges,Mining and Heavy industry,metallurgy complex with railways,copper smelter,Transport Logistics center,Europe Asia,3,9 ,/,600,0 ,Europe Asia highway,Cement,copper,uranium facilities,Power station 4 GWt,Copper,coal,gold,railways,power station,expanding transit facilities,energy grid,new urban construction and roads,rural airports,Transport logistics Europe Asia in Western Mongolia,Oil pipeline,oil plant,New international airport,railway logistics,Coal complex,Infrastructure objects in UB area:,Road network,new apartment districts,energy grid expansion,Free trade zone,Free trade zone,Development Aimed Public Investment Projects/2010-2015/,Khangai Region,Ulaanbaatar area,Central Region,Eastern Region,Western Region,1.,INVESTMENT,IN CENTRAL MONGOLIA,11 BILLION USD,2.,INVESTMENT,IN KHANGAI REGION,0.23 BILLION,USD,3.,WESTERN MONGOLIA,2.9 BILLION,USD,4.,EASTERN,MONGOLIA,5 BILLION USD,5.,ULAANBAATAR REGION,1.85 BILLION USD,Development Aimed Public Investment Projects,/by sector in trillion tugrik/,Investment in Central Region,Projects,Investment,1.,The,iron,factory/metallurgy,The investment agreements,of the central regions iron ores/Bayangol,Selenge,Tumurtolgoi/-the metallurgy complex,5,2,trillion tugrik,2,.,The infrastructure,development programme focused,area of metallurgy complex,2,9,trillion tugrik,3,.,The international expressway,:Altanbulag-Ulaanbaatar-Zamiin,Uud/1070 km paved road/,Armoured concrete bridge/260m/and other projects.,297,9,billion tugrik,4,.,Investment,in air transport,/,Building,a new international airport in Hushigt valley of Tuv aimag,50 km from Ulaanbaatar,scheduled to open in 2015,394,2,billion tugrik,5,.,Developing,infrastructure in the area of the industrial park in Choir/Sainshand/,541,8,billion,tugrik,6.,Developing railways,49,6,billion,tugrik,Black Metallurgy,Complex,Iron ore in Bayangol,Tumurtei,Khustai and Tumurtolgoi,Altanbulag Port,1070,km expressway,Airport in Hushigt valley,Industrial Park in Choir/also in Sainshand/,Zamiin-Uud Port,Metallurgy Extension,Investment in Central Region/South gobi/,Copper-Gold ore in Oyutolgoi,Nariin sukhait and Tsagaan suvarga,Sainshand,Shivee ovoos power plant,Tavan tolgois power plant,Projects,Investment,1.,The,copper smelting factory,the coke-chemical factory,the power plant and the chemical industry,projects based on,copper-gold,ore in Oyutolgoi,coal reserves in Tavantolgoi and Nariin Sukhait and Copper-Molybdenum ore in Tsagaan suvarga.,5,2,trillion tugrik,2,.,The,railways construction:,Tavantolgoi Tsagaan suvarga Sainshand,Tavantolgoi-Gashuun Suhait,Shivee Huren,1.2 billion US dollars,3,.,The paved roads:,Ulaanbaatar Mandalgobi,Dalanzadgad and Tavantolgoi Oyutolgoi,Gashuun sukhait.,7,billion tugrik,4,.,The power plant,that exports electricity in Shivee ovoos coal mining.,394,2,billion tugrik,5,.,The electrical,transmission line:,Ulaanbaatar,Mandalgobi,Tavantolgoi Oyutolgoi.,5,60,billion,tugrik,Investment in Khangai region,.,Iron refining factory in Tamir,International airport in Kharkhorin,Unit,Airport in Murun,Airport in Khatgal,Copper concentrate factory,Projects,Investment,Copper concentrate,factory,Copper cable factory in Erdenet,371,Billion tugrik,2,.,Cargo centre,in Kharkhorin of,Uvurjhangai aimag,25,Billion tugrik,3,.,The,urban development programme focused on engineering infrustructure in Kharkhorin Uvurjhangai aimag,3,3,billion tugrik,4,.,The,paved roads:,Unit-Murun and Bayankhongor-Altai/total 747km/,concrete bridge/163.1m/,255,1,billion tugrik,5,.,Airport expansion project,in Huvsgul aimag and,the paved airport,in Khatgal sum of Huvsgul aimag.,30,billion,tugrik,6.,Iron ore deposit/factory,in Tamir,10,billion,tugrik,The paved road from Bayankhongor to Altai,Investment in western region,Ulaangom,The transport and logistic centre,Tayan nuur iron ore,Asgat silver pollymetalllic deposit,Khushuut coking coal mine,Projects,Investment,1.,Asgat silver-polymetallic deposit development,N/A,2,.,The,iron factory/deposit using Tayan Nuur iron ore.,812 billion,tugrik,3,.,The auto road,construction,:Western area:Bayankhongor Altai,Khovd Ulaangom.,Western,area paved roads/around 1470km/,5.5,billion tugrik,4,.,Th,e small size power plant using Khushuut coking coal mine/in the near future/and the bigger one should be built.,280,billion tugrik,5.,The transport logistic centre in Ulaanbaishint of Bayan-Ulgii aimag,2,billion,tugrik,Investment in eastern region,Expected oil deposit in Tamsag,Choibalsan,Uranium ore deposits,Baruun urt,Undurkhaan,Bichigt-Huut,The railway:Sainshand -Baruun urt-Choibalsan,The pollymetalic ores in Tsav and Ulaan,Projects,Investment,1.,The oil processing,factory in eastern area,2.1 billion tugrik,2,.,uranium ore deposits in Mardai,Kharaat and Gurvan bulag of Dornot aimag/processing,30.9,billion,tugrik,3,.,The concrete factory using pollymetalic,ores in Tsav and Ulaan,19.3,billion tugrik,4,.,The,railway:Sainshand-Baruun urt Choibalsan and Bichigt Huut Choibalsan.,201.1,billion tugrik,5,.,The,autoroad construction:Undurkhaan Choibalsan Tumentsogt Baruun urt/622km/,Armoured concrete bridge/212m/,106.7billion,tugrik,6.,The transport terminal centre/Govisumber,Choir,Dornogovi and Zamiin-Uud/,4.3,billion,tugrik,7.,The railway reconstruction:Chingissyn Dalan Mardai.The transport terminal centre in Zamiin-Uud,117.3 billion tugrik,Investment in Ulaanbaatar area,Projects Urban,infrastructure,Investment,1.,The,technology,parks,in Nalaikh,Bagakhangai and Baganuur,5 billion tugrik,2,.,The 5,th,power plant,in Ulaanbaatar,420,billion,tugrik,3,.,The“Ih Toiruu”,electricity transmission system,in Ulaanbaatar/220kW,and 110kW/,141billion tugrik,4,.,The,electric power transmission from Ulaanbaatar to the new international airport in Hushigt valley and the substation.,2.6,billion tugrik,5.,“Gachuurt-,Water resource,”project,32.2 billion,tugrik,6.,The urban development programme designed to build new apartment areas in Ulaanbaatar,new automobile roads,80 billion tugrik,800 billion,7.The,University Campus,15 billion tugrik,Impact of selected projects such as Oyutolgoi(copper,gold)and Tavantolgoi(coal),2010-2015,Mongolian economy will grow faster due to mining,GDP in nominal prices will increase 3 fold,29,Baseline economic growth rate projection is,7.9,%for 2010-2015,Development of new mines will increase growth rate to,11.6,%,In 2014,economic growth rate may reach 18%,GDP per capita will increase almost 3-fold,30,GDP per capital,Mining projected and baseline growth rates,Balance of payments currency reserves,31,Currency Reserves(million USD)will increase more than 9 times,Financing options:,Public investment,Public Private Partnership(Concession Law)to be ratified during Autumn Session 2009 list of PPP projects is prepared with ADB support,Development Bank of Mongolia(JICA)by Government Action Program to be set up in 2009 to finance priority sectors(industry,infrastructure,advanced technology),FDI to reach billions of USD dollars by 2012(currently 600 million USD in 2008),32,33,Public investment to grow from,2008,level of approximately 0.4 billion USD,8-22,times to,3-8,billion US dollars by 2020,Year,Public investment(trillion MNT),Baseline,projection,Oyutolgoi investment project expected signing Sep.2009,Tavantolgoi investment project,expected signing mid 2010,Combined public investment financing possibilities from some projects,2013,0.732,1.65532,0.8531244,At least 1.7 billion USD,2016,1.313,4.52315,1.8092592,At least 4.5 billion USD,2020,2.569,8.82999,3.219824,At least 8.5 billion USD,34,THANK YOU FOR,YOUR ATTENTION!,