宏观期末知识点总结.pdf

宏宏观观知知识识点点总结总结Chapter26 the exchange rate and balance of payment1.名名义义利率和利率和实际实际利率的概念利率的概念，要区分；二者的关系，那个公式。明白一国货币升值表示什么意思。（掌握）2.traded weighted index(了解)3.对对一国一国货币货币的供的供给给和需求的分析和需求的分析一，供给和需求决定汇率，要知道哪些因素影响一国货币的供给和需求，相应的曲线在图上会怎么移动（重点）。二，对一种货币的需求是对另一种货币的供给，要清楚某一种货币供给需求变化后，另一种货币的供给和需求会如何变化。（重点）4.利率平价和利率平价和购买购买力平价力平价（掌握）5.international trade(了解)6.汇汇率政策率政策。理解什么是浮动汇率、固定利率和 crawling peg。注意区分。（掌握）Chapter 27(AD-AS model)The main purpose of AD-AS model:explain changes in real GDP and price level,which leads to business cycle fluctuations around potential GDP.1、区分宏、区分宏观观中的中的长长短期短期宏观中的长短期主要以价格行为加以区分：在长期中，价格是具有伸缩性的，价格水平能够调整到充分就业的均衡状态；在短期中，价格是具有粘性的（sticky），实际 GDP 可能等于、大于、小于潜在 GDP.2、总总供供给给（Aggregate Supply）2.1 总供给是描述实际 GDP 供给量与价格水平的关系。The quantity of labor employedThe quantity of physical,human capital Quantity of real GDP suppliedThe state of technologyASPrice level2.2 总供给关系取决于时间范围企业的产品服务价格具有伸缩性-长期总供给曲线企业的产品服务价格具有黏性短期总供给曲线2.2.1 长期总供给（long-run aggregate supply）a、In the long run,the money wage rate changes in step with the price level;b、Try to explain why the LAS curve is vertical.（重点）the price levelchange by the real wage rate the money wage the same percentage does not changerateat the full-employment level real GDP=potential GDPpotential GDP is independent of the price level LAS curve is vertical2.2.2 短期总供给（short-run aggregate supply）a、in the short run,the money wage rate,the prices of other resources and potential GDP remain constant;b、Try to explain why the SAS curve slopes upward.In the short run,when the price level rises real wage rate declinesthe cost of production decreases employ more labors increases production(real GDP)黏性工资模型在超短期中，总供给曲线是水平的。外外生生变变量量内生变量内生变量2.3 总供给的变动An increase in theFull-employment quantity of laborAn increase in the changes in both of LAS and SASquantity of capital potential GDPcurve shiftAn advance in technologychangesin ASDepartures fromfull-employmentchanges in Expectations about the money wage only SAS curve shiftsinflationrate3、总总需求（需求（Aggregate demand）3.1 总需求是描述实际 GDP 需求量与价格水平的关系Basic formula:Y（实际 GDP 需求量）=C+I+G+(X-M)aggregatePrice level demand3.2 总需求曲线Try to explain why the AD curve slopes downward.Method 1 Price levelreal wealthsavingWealth Effectcurrent consumption ADAD curve slopes downwardIntertemporal substitution SubstitutionInternational priceEffctsMethod 2To analysis the relationship between the price level and real GDP by using the quantity theory of money.3.3 影响总需求变动的因素Expectation，Fiscal and monetary policy，The world economic（这部分的变化分析要求理解掌握，课本上有具体的总结解释）4、短期均衡与、短期均衡与长长期均衡期均衡短期均衡：SAS=AD（attention:the money wage rate is fixed）长期均衡：货币工资率的不断调整使得经济处于充分就业状态。（重点）In the long-run equilibrium,potential GDP determines real GDP,and potential GDP and AD determine the price level.凯恩斯主义：强调短期均衡；新古典主义：强调长期均衡5、AS-AD 模型的运用（重点）模型的运用（重点）5.1 解释经济增长，经济增长的过程中伴随通货膨胀5.2 解释经济周期（短期经济波动）5.3 总需求变动带来的短期和长期效应（通胀缺口和萧条缺口）5.4 总供给负方向波动会引发滞胀，思考可以通过何种调整可以使经济回归充分就业状态。6、三大宏、三大宏观经济观经济学的思想流派学的思想流派古典主义：经济能够自我调节，回归充分就业状态（长期）；新古典认为技术的变化是造成经济波动的主要原因。凯恩斯主义：强调政府干预，经济不能自身调节货币主义：在货币政策稳定且货币稳定增长的情况下，经济能够自我调节，处于充分就业的均衡状态Chapter 28 Expenditure Multipliers:The Keynesian Model凯凯恩斯模型前提假恩斯模型前提假设设：1.Price-level is fixed 2.Aggregate demand determines real GDPAggregate planned expenditure:C+I+G+X-M（注意均为 planned 的情况而非实际情况，C,M 有部分是自发性的 Consumption and savinga.Factors influence consumption and saving:1.Disposal income 增加（减少），c,s 增加（减少）；2.Real interest rate 增加（减少），c 减少（增加），s 增加（减少）；3.Wealth 增加（减少），c 增加（减少），s 减少（增加）；4.Expected future income 增加（减少），c 增加（减少），s 减少（增加）b.Consumption,saving functions P673c.MPC,MPS,MPI:MPC+MPS=1,MPI=changes in investment/changes in real GDP Aggregate Planned Expenditurea.Autonomous expenditure:I,G,X,部分 C,MInduced expenditure:C,M计算 autonomous expenditure:real GDP=0 时的 aggregate planned expenditureb.AE Curve P677c.Actual aggregate expenditure=Real GDPAggregate planned expenditure Real GDP（inventories 的作用）Aggregate planned expenditureReal GDP,inventories 减少；Aggregate planned expenditureReal GDP,inventories 增加。d.Equilibrium expenditure:Aggregate planned expenditure=Real GDP MultiplierMultiplier=changes in equilibrium expenditure/changes in autonomous expenditure=Y/A =1/(1-the slope of AE)Multiplier1 的原因：autonomous expenditure 的增加会带来 real GDP增加，进而增加 induced expenditure。当无 income tax,imports 时，multiplier=1/(1-MPC)=1/MPS当有 income tax,imports 时，multiplier1b.when government expenditure increases,government borrowing increase and raises the real interest rate.With the higher cost of borrowing,investment decreases,which will partly offsets the increase in government spending.If this were the only consequence of the increase in government expenditure,the multiplier would be 1.c The actual multiplier depends on which above effect is stronger.(3)The tax multiplier is the quantity effect a change in taxes on aggregate demandChapter 31 Monetary Policy1、掌握、掌握 monetary policy 的的 objectiveMaximum employment、Moderate long-term interest rates、Stable prices(主要目标）2、如何、如何 conduct monetary policy?Fed 通过 open market operation 首先影响 federal funds rate，接着影响interest rate，然后影响 quantity of money，最后影响 aggregate demand.注意：federal funds rate 是 bank 持有 reserve 的 cost具体的 process of transmission 见书上 7593、Fed 如何如何 fight recession/inflation?当经济处于 recession 的时候，Fed 会降低 federal funds rate 使得monetary base 增加，从而使得 interest rate 减少，间接导致 planned expenditure 增加，由于乘数效应，real GDP 会增长到 potential GDP.（书上 762-763 这 4 个图要掌握）当经济处于 inflation 的时候，Fed 会增加 Fed funds rate 使得monetary base 减少，从而使得 interest rate 增加，间接导致 planned expenditure 减少，由于乘数效应，real GDP 会减少到 potential GDP.（书上 764-765 这 4 个图要掌握）.