工业脱碳之路:使澳大利亚工业在净零全球经济中蓬勃发展.pdf
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1、P A T H W A Y S T O I N D U S T R I A L D E C A R B O N I S A T I O N1P H A S E 3 REP ORT -FE B RUA RY 20 23W W W.E N E RGY T R A N S I T ION S I N I T I AT I V E.ORGAustralian Industry ETI is convened by Climateworks Centre and Climate-KIC AustraliaPathways to industrial decarbonisation Positioning
2、 Australian industry to prosper in a net zero global economyThe Australian Industry Energy Transitions Initiative(Australian Industry ETI)is funded by a combination of philanthropy and industry participants,and has also received funding from the Australian Renewable Energy Agency(ARENA)as part of AR
3、ENAs Advancing Renewables Program.The views expressed herein are not necessarily the views of the Australian government,and the Australian government does not accept responsibility for any information or advice contained herein.The Australian Industry ETI is convened by Climateworks Centre,operating
4、 within the Monash Sustainable Development Institute,and Climate-KIC Australia,in collaboration with the Energy Transitions Commission and delivery partners CSIRO,RMI(formerly Rocky Mountain Institute)and BloombergNEF.The Australian Industry ETIs industry participants and supporters have contributed
5、 to the research,findings,conclusions and messages in this report.Industry participants have collaborated in the development of,and have had oversight of,the model inputs and architecture of the report.Industry participants endorse,in a general way,the central themes and findings of the report relat
6、ing to the need for ambitious,coordinated action to meet the significant challenges involved in transitioning Australias energy system and broader economy in order to limit warming to 1.5C above preindustrial levels,and in relation to the potential opportunities for Australias economy if strong,effe
7、ctive and coordinated action is achieved.While this report provides an evidence-based,independent analysis informed by consultation with industry,it does not necessarily reflect the position of each individual participant.This report contains statements that are,or may be deemed to be,forward lookin
8、g statements,including goals,pathways and ambitions for the supply chains in focus.Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks,uncertainties and other factors,many of which are beyond the control of the Australian Industry ETI.Particip
9、ants:Australian Gas Infrastructure Group,APA Group,Aurecon,AustralianSuper,BHP,BlueScope Steel,bp Australia,Cbus,the Clean Energy Finance Corporation,Fortescue Metals Group,HSBC,Orica,National Australia Bank,Rio Tinto,Schneider Electric,Wesfarmers Chemicals,Energy&Fertilisers,Westpac and Woodside En
10、ergy.Supporters:Australian Industry Group and the Australian Industry Greenhouse Network.This report is the result of three years engagement with Australias emissions-intensive industry and related businesses to coordinate learning and action,and develop pathways and projects towards achieving net z
11、ero emissions supply chains in Australia by mid-century.This report was written by Climateworks Centre specialists and Paul Graham from CSIRO,with significant contributions from reviewers within Climateworks Centre,Climate-KIC Australia and the Energy Transitions Commission(ETC).Jobs figures in this
12、 report were provided by Accenture Australia and developed from data provided by Climateworks Centre and CSIRO on a range of carbon abatement opportunities in Australian Industry ETI supply chains.A full analysis of jobs figures can be found in the companion jobs report.We acknowledge and pay our re
13、spect to the Traditional Owners and Elders past and present of the lands and waters on which program participants operate nationally.AcknowledgementsP A T H W A Y S T O I N D U S T R I A L D E C A R B O N I S A T I O N3Pathways to industrial decarbonisationClimateworks Centre and Climate-KIC Austral
14、ia 2023,Pathways to industrial decarbonisation:Positioning Australian industry to prosper in a net zero global economy,Australian Industry Energy Transitions Initiative,Phase 3,Climateworks Centre.ISBN:978-0-9924232-6-1 Positioning Australian industry to prosper in a net zero global economyPhase 3 r
15、eport,February 2023Authors Dr Tyra Horngren Dr Tessa Leach Ro Maxwell Paul Graham Rob Kelly Kylie Turner Anna Malos Contributors Peter Carton,Meredith England,Jay Gordon,Alasdair Graham,Mike Hemsley,Ita Kettleborough,Philip Lake,Rafal Malinowski,Hannah Maral,Jason Nielsen,Laura SimesA U S T R A L I
16、A N I N D U S T R Y E N E R G Y T R A N S I T I O N S I N I T I A T I V E 4Contents Acknowledgements 2Table of Figures 6Foreword by Simon McKeon 8Executive summary 91.Introduction 142.Pathway for heavy industry decarbonisation 22 2.1 Decarbonisation aligned to 1.5C requires a significant stretch in
17、efforts 22 2.2 The decarbonisation of Australias industrial supply chains will require a transformational shift in Australias energy system 25 2.3 Australia is one of the better placed economies set to benefit from a global energy transition 46 2.4 Achieving the energy transition will involve challe
18、nges but these can be overcome.473.Focus on iron and steel 49 3.1 Iron and steel production assumptions 51 3.2 Technology deployment timeline 51 3.3 Iron and steel supply chain decarbonisation 54 3.4 Momentum is building across the Australian and global iron and steel industry 64 3.5 Enabling the tr
19、ansition 654.Focus on aluminium 70 4.1 Aluminium supply chain production assumptions 72 4.2 Technology deployment timeline 72 4.3 Aluminium supply chain decarbonisation 76 4.4 Momentum is building across the Australian and global aluminium industry 83 4.5 Enabling the transition 84P A T H W A Y S T
20、O I N D U S T R I A L D E C A R B O N I S A T I O N55.Focus on other metals 90 5.1 Other metals production assumptions 92 5.2 Technology deployment timeline 93 5.3 Other metals supply chain decarbonisation 94 5.4 Momentum is building across Australian and global other metals industries 101 5.5 Enabl
21、ing the transition 1026.Focus on chemicals 107 6.1 Chemicals production assumptions 109 6.2 Technology deployment timeline 109 6.3 Chemicals supply chain decarbonisation 115 6.4 Momentum is building across the Australian and global chemicals industry 122 6.5 Enabling the transition 1237.Focus on LNG
22、 128 7.1 LNG production assumptions 130 7.2 Technology deployment timeline 132 7.3 LNG supply chain decarbonisation 135 7.4 Momentum is building across the Australian and global LNG industry 142 7.5 Enabling the transition 1428.Enabling the transition to net zero emissions in Australian industry 148
23、 8.1 Enablers of a coordinated transition 149 8.2 Recommended actions to unlock 1.5C-aligned pathways 1579.Conclusion and summary of recommended actions 174References 179Glossary 192A U S T R A L I A N I N D U S T R Y E N E R G Y T R A N S I T I O N S I N I T I A T I V E 6Table of FiguresFigure A:Pr
24、iority objectives for action11Figure B:Findings for key enablers12Figure C:Supply chain snapshot13Figure 1.01:The significance of the Australian Industry ETI supply chains15Figure 1.02:Estimated emissions from downstream use of selected Australian commodity exports compared with Australias domestic
25、emissions16Figure 1.03:Global carbon budget at different likelihoods of limiting warming to 1.5C17Figure 1.04:Climate ambition in the three core scenarios20Figure 2.01:Annual emissions in the Australian Industry ETI scenarios23Figure 2.02:Cumulative emissions in the Australian Industry ETI scenarios
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- 工业 脱碳 澳大利亚 全球经济 蓬勃 发展
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