1、20072007年上半年广州房地产回顾与展望年上半年广州房地产回顾与展望年上半年广州房地产回顾与展望年上半年广州房地产回顾与展望经营销售部1 政策未现深远影响,下半年预计接踵而至政策未现深远影响,下半年预计接踵而至 供应量同比下调,市场供求不平衡严重供应量同比下调,市场供求不平衡严重 价格迅猛攀升,缩量成交价格迅猛攀升,缩量成交 一级市场僧多粥少,交投热闹一级市场僧多粥少,交投热闹ContentsContents2007年上半年广州房地产市场概况2DiagramDiagram未有紧缩性政策出台广州地方政府提出广州地方政府提出“广七条广七条”新的政策会接踵而来新的政策会接踵而来宏观调控平稳,政府
2、着力的主要方向转向对原有政策的完善、落实宏观调控平稳,政府着力的主要方向转向对原有政策的完善、落实 上半年中央政府出台主要政策着眼点在税务和金融上半年中央政府出台主要政策着眼点在税务和金融着眼于对房地产市场的着眼于对房地产市场的“结构性调整结构性调整”,并无打压楼价动机;,并无打压楼价动机;而且政策的影响力也不会在半年内有深远的体现而且政策的影响力也不会在半年内有深远的体现.下半年广州住宅楼价预测将会继续攀升,下半年广州住宅楼价预测将会继续攀升,预计下半年的楼市调控将适当加强预计下半年的楼市调控将适当加强.3DiagramDiagram 由于项目规划修改、报建及审批延误等因素的影响,上半年的商
3、品住宅供应水平一直处在低位。今年上半年全市十区商品住宅的批准预售面积约在300万平方米左右,与去年同期的供应水平(347.25万平方米)相比略减加上去年的成交量(924.65万平方米)大幅领先于供应量(694.45万平方米),市场多消化的面积高达230万平方米,市场可售的面积进一步减少,从而令到今年上半年的市场可售货量跌至多年以来的最低点2006年上半年全市十区商品住宅的可售套数一般维持在3万多套的水平,而今年上半年的可售套数已降到2万多套水平,同比约减少1万套,即1/3左右供应量同比下调,市场供求不平衡严重供应量同比下调,市场供求不平衡严重.4DiagramDiagram成交面积约减少了15
4、%以上。其中,1-4月份成交281.57万平方米,同比去年同期(336.40万平方米)减少16.3%与去年同期相比,由于2006年成交业绩理想,基数较大所以本年上半年的成交数据同比有所下滑拖低全市平均成交均价,所以实际上均价涨幅还会更高上半年花都的楼市出现大热,成交面积及成交套数大幅增加,其所占全市商品住宅的成交比例亦相应增加今年上半年的商品住宅成交均价再次出现飞涨,同比上涨的幅度超过了25%其中,1-6月份的成交均价为7386元/平方米,同比上涨约25.8%左右价格迅猛攀升价格迅猛攀升价格迅猛攀升价格迅猛攀升缩量成交缩量成交缩量成交缩量成交5DiagramDiagramThemeGaller
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